Friday, June 17, 2005

Latest SCB poll

Sweden's national bureau of statistics, SCB, or Statistics Sweden as it wants to be known in English, has released its new national party political poll. This is done twice yearly, more than 9000 people are queried, and it is considered the most reliable poll in Sweden.

The results confirm that the Social Democrats and its partners are in for some very heavy lifting if we're going to win the elections of September 2006.

For me, one of the few really bright spots of this poll is that the Green Party at 7,9%, is still very strong here in Gothenburg. Although not as high as the fantastic 12,9% we had in the first SCB-poll after the EP-elections, it is still very good! A strong and focused eurosceptic campaign like the one we had in Gothenburg is a real vote-winner.

The new parties are included among the category "others". The Feminist Initiative is at 1,5%, and the eurosceptic June-list is at 1%. This is not a bad result for parties that still haven't declared formally that they are going to take part in the election.

The numbers within the parantheses are the changes since november 2004. Click here for more info about the parties.

Government and its support:
Social Democrats: 34,7% (-3,2)
Left Party (GUE-NGL): 7% (-0.6)
Green Party (V): 4,4% (-0,3)

Oppostition:
Center Party (ELDR): 6,5% (-0,2)
Liberals (ELDR): 11,7% (-0,3)
Christian Democrats (EPP): 4,4% (-1,1)
Moderates (EPP): 27,7% (+4,4)

Others: 3,5% (+1,3)

It has been said that a week is a long time in politics; and 15 months are even longer . This election could still go either way.